Almost 99 percent of more than 15,000 global early technology adopters consulted by Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) say that they expect to be proactively using internet and connectivity-based solutions by 2030 to personally address the impact of climate change and global warming. The statistic is included in the latest annual 10 Hot Consumer Trends research from Ericsson ConsumerLab, this year called Life in a Climate-Impacted Future.
The January 2023 publication marks the twelfth edition of the report, which this year outlines consumers’ concerns, expectations, and personal technology actions related to climate issues in 2030.
Some 83 percent of respondents believe that the world will have reached, or surpassed, the 1.5C rate of global warming (above pre-industrial levels) deemed by international agreements to be the limit above which more extreme weather events and negative climate consequences are likely.
About 55 percent of early adopters in metropolitan areas believe that climate change will have a negative impact on their lives and expect to turn to connectivity solutions as countermeasures.
Main concerns include: the cost of living, access to energy and material resources, and the need for safe and reliable connectivity in turbulent times and chaotic weather. Some 59 percent of respondents believe that innovation and technology will be crucial to address everyday challenges caused by climate change in the 2030s.
More than 15,000 early adopters of AR, VR and digital assistants in 30 cities globally were asked to evaluate 120 digital service ideas across 15 areas ranging from climate related adaptation efforts in everyday life to ways to handle dire weather events.
From the resulting data, Ericsson ConsumerLab experts created ten trend areas to group consumers’ answers.
Magnus Frodigh, Head of Ericsson Research, says: Consumers are clearly saying that reliable and resilient internet connection will be of utmost importance to their daily lives, and their personal efforts to address climate change, as they expect extreme weather changes and negative climate impact to be more common. Consumers not only expect the needed connectivity to be in place on a global scale, but to be in place quickly.”
The vast majority of early adopters not only believe that climate change is happening, but also that its results will have greater impact on their lives in the 2030s than it does now. While personal economy and lifestyle interests will be the top service adoption drivers for the survey respondents in the 2030s, possible new large-scale collective behaviors may result in big changes from daily life as we currently know it – in areas such as how we work, when we work and work-life balance.
For example, the move away from ‘clock time’, such as the ‘traditional’ nine-to-five working day and routines, could be a key driver of the No-Rush Mobility trend. A society organized around energy use peaks and troughs, rather than clock-time, could become common.
Respondents also expect the role of AI to extend into consumer behavior – as outlined in the Less Is More Digital trend – for example to help shoppers reduce their material consumption impact by using digital alternatives to physical products.
Report co-author Sara Thorson, Head of Concept Development, Ericsson ConsumerLab, addresses another of the identified trends, Smart Water: “Water use could also change dramatically, if rationing becomes much more widespread than today. Some sixty four percent of early adopters foresee digitally regulated monthly water allowances for all citizens by the 2030s.”
Dr. Michael Björn, Head of Research Agenda, Ericsson Consumer and IndustryLab, and driver of the 10 Hot Consumer Trends report since its inception in 2011, says consumers also foresee the risk of misuse of climate-impact-related solutions.
“The Climate Cheaters trend highlights an unfortunate, but very real, consideration for compliance with any climate-focused actions. There could be cheats who try to avoid compliance obligations related to climate impact regulations, perhaps such as paying a bill or recording data. In the face of climate change, about 72 percent of respondents foresee the use of digital technology to bypass environmental restrictions for personal short-term gain. This is a big warning about the continued importance of focusing on the reliability of services.”
THE TRENDS
1 Cost Cutters
Digital services will help consumers control food, energy and travel costs in unstable climate situations. More than 60 percent of urban early adopters are concerned about higher costs of living in the future.
2 Unbroken Connections
Reliable and resilient internet connection will become more important if and as extreme weather events increase. Some 80 percent of urban early adopters believe there will be smart signal locators that show optimal coverage areas during natural disasters in the 2030s.
3 No-Rush Mobility
Strict time schedules may become a thing of the past as climate regulations and energy efficiency change the meaning of flexibility. About 68 percent of respondents would plan activities using schedulers that optimize based on energy cost, not time efficiency.
4 S(AI)fekeepers
AI is expected to power services that protect consumers during increasingly unpredictable and unstable weather. Almost half of urban early adopters say they will use personalized weather warning systems for their own safety.
5 New Working Climate
Corporate carbon footprint constraints, rising costs and accelerated digitalization will shape work routines of the future. Seven in ten foresee company AI assistants planning commutes, tasks and resources to minimize work-related carbon footprints.
6 Smart Water
As freshwater may become scarcer in the 2030s, consumers anticipate smarter water services to conserve and reuse water. Almost half of urban early adopters say their household will use smart water catchers on roofs, balconies and windows that intelligently open when it is raining to catch and clean rainwater.
7 The Enerconomy
Digital energy-sharing services may alleviate the burden of rising energy costs in the 2030s. Energy could become a currency as 65 percent of urban early adopters predict consumers will be able to pay for goods and services in kWh using mobile apps in the 2030s.
8 Less is more digital
Digital product replacements may become status markers as physical overconsumption could get both expensive and socially criticized. Dematerialization of consumption habits could accelerate as one-third of urban early adopters believe they will personally use shopping apps that suggest digital alternatives to physical products.
9 Natureverse
Experiencing nature in urban areas without traveling could be standard in the 2030s, in the face of continued climate change and potential travel limitations. Four in ten urban early adopters want to personally use a virtual travel service that lets them experience nature reserves and mountain trails in real time as if they were there.
10 Climate Cheaters
Respondents say consumers will find ways to bypass stricter environmental restrictions due to higher prices and energy and water rationing. Over half of urban early adopters predict online hacking apps will enable them to tap into neighbors’ water or electricity supply illicitly.
Read the full 10 Hot Consumer Trends: Life in a Climate-Impacted Future report via this link.
Report methodology
The report insights are based on Ericsson ConsumerLab’s global research activities spanning more than a quarter of a century. It primarily draws on data from an online survey conducted during November 2022 of early adopters of AR, VR and digital assistants in 30. They are: Bangkok, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo, Dallas Fort Worth, Delhi, Jakarta, Johannesburg, Kuala Lumpur, Lisbon, London, Madrid, Mexico City, Miami, Milan, Munich, New York, Oslo, Rome, San Francisco, SaÞo Paulo, Shanghai, Singapore, Stockholm, Sydney, Taipei, Tokyo, Toronto, Vancouver, and Zürich.
