By Dr. Gholam Mujtaba, MS, MD, Ed.D.
USA : The situation in Pakistan has reached a critical crossroads, teetering between survival and collapse. The current establishment faces daunting challenges in addressing the twin threats of economic deterioration and national security—both internal and external. These challenges are compounded by the volatile regional dynamics, as seen in Sri Lanka’s financial collapse, the overthrow of Sheikh Hasina’s government in Bangladesh, and recent geopolitical upheavals, including the alleged removal of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.
The November protest rallies organized by the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) in Islamabad and across the country underscored this volatility. Allegations have surfaced that the military misused administrative powers granted to it under Article 245 of the Constitution during these protests, leading to bloodshed. While the armed forces retain a position of respect among the people as a unifying force, their actions under the current circumstances risk tarnishing their image and undermining national stability.
A Spiraling Crisis
The PTI’s planned non-cooperation movement following “Youm-e-Shuhada” (Martyrs’ Day) on December 13, 2024, poses significant risks to stability in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) and beyond. This political turbulence is exacerbated by widespread discontent over ordinary citizens’ economic hardships, which could destabilize other provinces, including Punjab and Sindh.
Internationally, the response from the diaspora and foreign capitals to PTI’s protest calls has been unprecedented. Demonstrations in Germany, Spain, the UK, the US, and other nations reflect global solidarity rarely seen in any political movement. However, such visibility has also drawn negative attention to Pakistan’s internal dysfunction, tarnishing its image in the eyes of world powers, human rights organizations, and legislative bodies in countries such as Australia, Canada, the US, and the EU.
The Belarus Connection
The recent visit of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko to Pakistan raised eyebrows domestically. Given Belarus’ modest economic standing, the rationale for this visit appears unclear, sparking speculation about ulterior motives, including the potential for political asylum for Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. These allegations and Belarus’ contentious human rights record add to the controversy and public disillusionment.
Deadlock Between the Establishment and PTI
The impasse between the PTI and the establishment lies at the heart of Pakistan’s political crisis.
The current leadership is indifferent to the stalemate between the PTI and the establishment, which is at the heart of Pakistan’s political crisis. The current leadership is also indifferent to the PTI’s demands for releasing former Prime Minister Imran Khan and reevaluating alleged electoral fraud. Given his overwhelming public support, the prospect of Khan’s release could trigger massive unrest, while nullifying elections would undoubtedly lead to a sweeping PTI victory. These stark realities leave little room for compromise.
A Narrow Window for Action
The options for the establishment are dwindling. The continued use of force to suppress dissent is not a viable long-term solution and risks plunging the country into a civil war. Respect for Pakistan’s security agencies is deteriorating, further eroding their legitimacy and ability to maintain order.
The time for decisive action is now. As a concerned Pakistani American, I urge the armed forces to assume responsibility for navigating the nation out of this crisis. Temporary martial law, a commitment to impartial accountability, and organizing free and fair elections may be the only way to restore stability and public confidence. Without these, Pakistan risks descending into the chaos and disintegration witnessed in countries such as Libya, Syria, and Lebanon.
Pakistan’s survival depends on pragmatic leadership and immediate corrective measures. The armed forces must rise to safeguard the nation’s future. Delay is no longer an option.
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