Geneva, April 17, 2026 — The International Air Transport Association (IATA) has warned that Europe could begin experiencing flight cancellations by the end of May due to a growing jet fuel shortage linked to ongoing disruptions in global energy supplies caused by the Middle East conflict.
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IATA Director General Willie Walsh said the International Energy Agency’s (IEA) assessment of potential fuel shortages was “sobering,” adding that early signs of disruption are already visible in parts of Asia.
Walsh cautioned that by late May, Europe could see operational disruptions, including flight cancellations, if fuel supply constraints worsen. He noted that airlines are working to secure alternative supply chains but stressed that governments must also prepare coordinated contingency measures, including possible rationing plans.
The IEA has warned that Europe could face a significant jet fuel deficit within six weeks if imports from the Middle East continue to decline. According to the agency, the region accounts for around 75% of Europe’s net jet fuel imports, making it highly vulnerable to supply shocks.
Energy markets have already been under pressure following disruptions triggered by the Iran conflict, which has affected shipping routes, including the Strait of Hormuz, and led to volatility in global fuel prices.
Industry observers say rising fuel costs are already impacting airline operations globally, with some cancellations and delays reported in Asia, while European authorities monitor the situation closely to avoid wider aviation disruptions.
